3%chance of winning
- Mateo Manfreda 1500 +36.0
Karmøy
beat
- Mats Lervåg 1942 −19.2
Bergen
15-17, 15-12, 15-13
Men's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN A) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
The matches won with the lowest chance of winning, week by week.
The win chance is from the ratings right before the match. Only matches between settled players count: every player has played at least 10 matches and has a rating certain to within ±250 in singles or ±180 in doubles, so a junior improving fast beating a favourite isn't counted as an upset. Walkovers and draws are left out.
3%chance of winning
Karmøybeat
Bergen15-17, 15-12, 15-13
Men's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN A) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
5%chance of winning
Gullvikmoen
Kolvereidbeat
Gullvikmoen
Gullvikmoen10-15, 15-6, 15-8
Mixed doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN B) · 9 Oct 2026
8%chance of winning
Gullvikmoenbeat
Gullvikmoen15-8, 15-11
Men's singles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (U13 A) · 9 Oct 2026 · head to head
8%chance of winning
Kolvereidbeat
Gullvikmoen
Gullvikmoen15-8, 15-13
Mixed doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN B) · 9 Oct 2026
9%chance of winning
NTNUI
NTNUIbeat
16-14, 13-15, 15-13
Men's doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN C) · 9 Oct 2026
11%chance of winning
Karmøybeat
Haugesund
Haugesund15-9, 15-11
Men's doubles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN B) · 10 Oct 2026
11%chance of winning
Gullvikmoenbeat
15-13, 15-10
Men's singles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN C) · 9 Oct 2026 · head to head
16%chance of winning
Haugesundbeat
Stavanger15-8, 15-13
Men's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN B) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
16%chance of winning
Gullvikmoen
Gullvikmoenbeat
Kolvereid
Kolvereid12-15, 15-12, 15-13
Women's doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN B) · 9 Oct 2026
17%chance of winning
Bergenbeat
12-15, 15-13, 15-11
Women's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN B) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
| Week | Upset | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct |

Mats Lervåg−19.2| 3% |
| 28 Sep | Joakim Stenbek-Wiker+9.3 beat Sidarth Karthik−6.610-15, 15-12, 15-13 · Men's singles · Moss Infinitum Mossetreffen 2026 (U15 A) | 3% |
| 21 Sep | Lukas Endahl Haraldsen+34.4 / Aksel Fossåskaret+12.3 beat Gonçalo Ribeiro−13.7 / Fredrik Lian−13.615-8, 9-15, 15-13 · Men's doubles · Ålesund ÅlesundCupen 2026 (SEN A) | 2% |
| 14 Sep | Giulia Dell'Acqua+25.0 / William Aaberg Rølvåg+16.5 beat Amund Rikheim Huus−13.8 / Katja Botcharova Ellingsen−13.315-13, 4-15, 15-13 · Mixed doubles · Trondheim Ranking U13 + Sen* (SEN E) | 1% |
| 7 Sep | Tobias Langlie+22.8 beat Tom Smebye−19.615-13, 13-15, 15-13 · Men's singles · Verdal Øratreffen 2026 (SEN C) | 1% |
| 6 Jul | Geir Vik+26.3 beat Magnus Grindstuen−18.49-15, 15-10, 15-8 · Men's singles · Pillarguri Sommernatt på Otta (SEN D) | 2% |
| 1 Jun | Rohan Rakesh+89.8 beat Johannes Bådsvik-Michelsen−69.711-8, 9-11, 11-5, 10-12, 11-2 · Men's singles · Landsfinalen U13 Pulje 1 (1. HS) | 4% |
| 25 May | Theodor Skåtun Barstad+9.2 beat Leo Carlsen−8.321-19, 10-21, 21-14 · Men's singles · Pillarguri OTTA OPEN (U15 A) | 5% |
| 18 May | Egor Grigorenko+10.4 beat Tore Nilsen−6.411-21, 21-16, 21-19 · Men's singles · Hammerfest Midnight sun 2026 (SEN B) | 8% |
| 4 May | Sverre Haugli+124.3 beat Syed Mohammed Ali−83.421-17, 18-21, 21-8 · Men's singles · Haugerud Haugerud vårcup (SEN C) | 2% |
| 27 Apr | Agus Darmawan+10.1 / Zhe Wu+25.6 beat Wenyue Yu−18.7 / Ingvild Kristine Nyheim−9.616-21, 21-14, 21-13 · Mixed doubles · 2. divisjon Sluttspill bunn (1. MD) | 7% |
| 20 Apr | Oscar Øisjøfoss Sørheim+90.1 beat Leon Matheo Solbakken Svela−58.521-14, 21-14 · Men's singles · Bygdø Bygdø Vårtreff 2026 (SEN C) | 4% |
| 13 Apr | Nikol Hermansen+39.7 / Pelle Cornelius Nordeide+108.9 beat Iver Rolvsjord−43.4 / Tyra Friisenfeldt−42.421-16, 21-18 · Mixed doubles · NTNUI RT U13 + Sen (SEN E) | 1% |
| 6 Apr | Mads Lucien Lelièvre+43.5 beat Andreas Østby−23.721-16, 21-19 · Men's singles · Sandefjord UBM (U17 A) | 6% |
| 23 Mar | Md Emranul Haque+13.1 beat Adrian Olsen-Loe Pedersen−7.222-20, 18-21, 21-18 · Men's singles · Harstad Harstad Open 2026 (SEN B) | 2% |
| 16 Mar | Sivert Optjernsberget Vestli+71.1 beat Daniel Nguyen−30.421-18, 21-15 · Men's singles · 1. divisjon Sluttspill bunn (3. HS) | 2% |
| 9 Mar | Mohammadshayan Koraei+20.2 beat Sander Nhat-Minh Nguyen−14.621-14, 9-21, 21-19 · Men's singles · Bærum Bærum Young and Old Ones (U17 A) | 2% |
| 2 Mar | Sofie Larsen Witsø+49.6 beat Carol Alex−41.719-21, 21-16, 21-18 · Women's singles · Haugerud RT U15*AB + U17 (U15 A) | 1% |
| 23 Feb | Rasmus Bohman+114.6 / Gabriele Klijūnaitė+85.7 beat Anders Eimstad−77.2 / Turid Gråberg−89.321-12, 21-15 · Mixed doubles · Karmøy Karmøy Open (SEN C) | 2% |
| 16 Feb | Mateo Manfreda+97.4 beat Rolf Ivar Olsen−53.321-11, 21-18 · Men's singles · Kirkenes Barents Open 2026 (SEN A) | 6% |
| 9 Feb | Frode Reinan+19.9 beat Raimonds Silins−14.221-19, 17-21, 21-14 · Men's singles · Verdal Verdalstreffen 2026 (SEN C) | 5% |
| 2 Feb | Kenneth Bernhoff+14.4 beat Solan August Tustervatn−7.821-15, 13-21, 21-17 · Men's singles · Herøy Herøycup 2026 (U17 A) | 1% |
| 26 Jan | Dianne Christine Geronimo+25.9 beat Nancy Hang−19.021-19, 11-21, 21-17 · Women's singles · NBF NM Senior (Bygdøhus) (SEN E) | 7% |
| 19 Jan | Mads Lucien Lelièvre+22.3 / Chinbe Vanida Svensson+35.2 beat Wenyue Yu−27.3 / Yngvild Buraas−14.421-16, 21-16 · Mixed doubles · 2. divisjon Grunnspill (1. MD) | 2% |
| 12 Jan | Martin Herstad+26.6 beat Ulrikke Sørstrand−16.321-16, 14-21, 25-23 · Men's singles · Klemetsrud KM 2026 (SEN B) | 2% |
| 5 Jan | Joseph Paul+41.2 / Ingrid Trøite+30.9 beat Heidi Hartmann−18.9 / Daniel Standal−31.922-20, 21-16 · Mixed doubles · Sotra RT U15 + U19* (U19 A) | 2% |