3%chance of winning
- Mateo Manfreda 1500 +36.0
Karmøy
beat
- Mats Lervåg 1942 −19.2
Bergen
15-17, 15-12, 15-13
Men's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN A) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
The matches won with the lowest chance of winning, week by week.
The win chance is from the ratings right before the match. Only matches between settled players count: every player has played at least 10 matches and has a rating certain to within ±250 in singles or ±180 in doubles, so a junior improving fast beating a favourite isn't counted as an upset. Walkovers and draws are left out.
3%chance of winning
Karmøybeat
Bergen15-17, 15-12, 15-13
Men's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN A) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
5%chance of winning
Gullvikmoen
Kolvereidbeat
Gullvikmoen
Gullvikmoen10-15, 15-6, 15-8
Mixed doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN B) · 9 Oct 2026
8%chance of winning
Gullvikmoenbeat
Gullvikmoen15-8, 15-11
Men's singles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (U13 A) · 9 Oct 2026 · head to head
8%chance of winning
Kolvereidbeat
Gullvikmoen
Gullvikmoen15-8, 15-13
Mixed doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN B) · 9 Oct 2026
9%chance of winning
NTNUI
NTNUIbeat
16-14, 13-15, 15-13
Men's doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN C) · 9 Oct 2026
11%chance of winning
Karmøybeat
Haugesund
Haugesund15-9, 15-11
Men's doubles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN B) · 10 Oct 2026
11%chance of winning
Gullvikmoenbeat
15-13, 15-10
Men's singles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN C) · 9 Oct 2026 · head to head
16%chance of winning
Haugesundbeat
Stavanger15-8, 15-13
Men's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN B) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
16%chance of winning
Gullvikmoen
Gullvikmoenbeat
Kolvereid
Kolvereid12-15, 15-12, 15-13
Women's doubles · Gullvikmoen Rockesmashen 2026 (SEN B) · 9 Oct 2026
17%chance of winning
Bergenbeat
12-15, 15-13, 15-11
Women's singles · Haugesund Viking Cup (SEN B) · 10 Oct 2026 · head to head
| Week | Upset | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec |

Sofie Kold Hansen−11.1| 17% |
| 29 Nov | Pranav Tehlan+72.7 beat Sindre Gjuvsland−43.821-19, 21-13 · Men's singles · Bergen Julecupen 2021 (U17 A) | 11% |
| 22 Nov | Marie Gade Brask+31.9 beat Vilma Aasheim-Engen−16.214-21, 24-22, 21-19 · Women's singles · Moss Julecupen RT 17 + Sen (U17 A) | 4% |
| 15 Nov | David Nguyen+41.9 beat Nauman Majid−30.023-21, 21-14 · Men's singles · 1. div Oslofjorden 2021/2022 Grunnspill (1. HS) | 5% |
| 8 Nov | Christian Asbjørnsen+20.7 / Vegard Strand+25.3 beat Thomas Pedersen−15.2 / Lars Valentin−14.522-20, 21-16 · Men's doubles · Norborg NorborgCupen 2021 (SEN A) | 3% |
| 1 Nov | Yngvild Buraas+61.6 beat Trine Søraas Johannessen−34.222-20, 21-15 · Women's singles · Klæbu Trønderdroppen 2021 (SEN B) | 5% |
| 25 Oct | Stian Askerød+16.4 / Dag Esvall+26.6 beat Bjørn Rakstang−16.6 / Ernst Georg Olsen−15.013-21, 23-21, 21-11 · Men's doubles · Frogner Frognerhøna (SEN B) | 2% |
| 18 Oct | Julie Marie Andersen Abusdal+10.3 beat Vera Botcharova Ellingsen−10.114-21, 21-16, 21-18 · Women's singles · NTNUI U23 NM (SEN E) | 7% |
| 11 Oct | Andreas Andersen Roksvåg+7.5 / Marie Gade Brask+9.0 beat Filip Bøhn−5.1 / Selma Kvarenes Bjørnestøl−5.112-21, 21-17, 23-21 · Mixed doubles · Imås IL Mcdonalds Cup 2021 (SEN A) | 2% |
| 4 Oct | Sindre Gjuvsland+26.3 / Oline Langeland Risa+25.4 beat Rebekka Hesjedal−22.2 / Robert Eriksen−22.821-19, 21-14 · Mixed doubles · Stanghelle IL Kraft-Smashen (SEN C) | 6% |
| 27 Sep | Cecilie Welle Bay+56.9 / Robert Sulebakk+27.1 beat Thomas Pedersen−28.7 / Trine Sperre−31.321-16, 21-13 · Mixed doubles · Ålesund Ålesundcupen 2021 (SEN A) | 9% |
| 20 Sep | Iver Rolvsjord+21.6 / Boyan Yu+11.6 beat Rolf Ove Karlsen−10.3 / Trond Mære−11.319-21, 24-22, 21-17 · Men's doubles · Rissa Clearcup 2021 (SEN A) | 4% |
| 13 Sep | Arben Holstad+95.2 / Jeanette Svendsen+95.3 beat Robert Sulebakk−71.6 / Trine Sperre−73.821-15, 21-11 · Mixed doubles · Eliteserien Kvalifisering - utsettes til høsten 22 Pulje 1 (1. MD) | 9% |
| 6 Sep | Oline Langeland Risa+201.1 beat Thea Øyen Selsaas−145.221-19, 21-8 · Women's singles · Askøy Vestlandsmesterskapet 2020 (U15 A) | 3% |
| 23 Aug | Sondre Lie Foldnes+268.1 beat Kristoffer Sveen Hjertholm−154.321-18, 21-13 · Men's singles · Haugerud RT 19* + 19A + 19B (U19 A) | 6% |
| 26 Jul | Fredrik Nilssen+71.2 beat Inge Rosset−61.721-19, 21-17 · Men's singles · Kolvereid Knut Liland Køpp 2021 (SEN C) | 4% |
| 7 Jun | Andreas Andersen Roksvåg+30.0 beat Ludvig Smith-Meyer−28.320-22, 21-18, 21-17 · Men's singles · Bygdø NM Junior (U19 A) | 3% |
| 31 May | Ludvig Smith-Meyer+10.6 / Sofia Louis Macsali+12.5 beat Mads Marum−10.2 / Vilde Espeseth−12.021-19, 21-19 · Mixed doubles · Frogner NM Senior (SEN E) | 22% |